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ACUS11 KWNS 021555
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021555
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-021700-

Mesoscale Discussion 0624
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1055 AM CDT Sat Jun 02 2018

Areas affected...Southern Georgia...southeastern Alabama...northern
Florida

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 021555Z - 021700Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to expand in
coverage and intensify through the afternoon. Wind damage and
occasional hail are the main threats. A WW issuance is being
considered.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar mosaic and satellite imagery indicate
increasing convective coverage and intensity - particularly near and
south of CSG. Objective analyses across this region indicate an
uncapped and modestly sheared airmass, with surface-based CAPE
values exceeding exceeding 3000 J/kg. With time, gradual upscale
growth of the cluster near CSG is expected, along with continue
development across the region ahead of this cluster.
Forward-propagating bows and isolated cells will be capable of both
wind damage and isolated hail instances as storms migrate
south-southeastward. Given the aforementioned atmospheric factors,
a WW is being contemplated for portions of the region and may be
needed around 17Z or so.

..Cook/Guyer.. 06/02/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 32548501 32698434 32678360 32498257 32128198 31628155
30788146 30248148 29838178 29578276 29778343 30048391
29928453 29728496 29868547 30318601 30558666 30818686
31208670 31708601 32548501



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