From:
slider@anashram.com
Their standard-bearer builds a sizable lead in the race for president
against Donald Trump.
Everything seems pointed in their direction. Pundits talk about a
Democratic victory like it’s inevitable.
Then it doesn’t happen.
Still licking their wounds four years after Hillary Clinton’s stinging
loss, Democrats are grappling with heightened expectations that didn’t
seem possible at the start of the year. Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden cruised to a double-digit lead nationally weeks ago and has stayed
there as President Trump takes a pounding over his handling of the
coronavirus crisis, high unemployment and the fallout from nationwide
protests over police brutality.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2020/07/05/joe-biden-up-big-and-senate-grasps-dems-haunted-fear-letdown/3284392001/
Not only does Biden lead polls in every battleground state – a wider
command than Clinton ever had – the former vice president is either ahead
or competitive in states that the GOP must carry, including Texas,
Georgia, Iowa, Ohio and Missouri. Democrats also have a path to take
control of the Senate.
On one hand, Democrats are gushing about their prospects: a chance for a sweeping victory, not just eking out a win, to deliver a clear repudiation
of the Trump era and unseat Mitch McConnell as Senate majority leader.
But they’re not able to shake off their painful memories of 2016, when
many Democrats falsely assumed that the Republican Party’s nomination of a reality TV show host with no elected office experience would ensure a
Clinton victory in November.
"That memory can't be erased," said Luis Heredia, executive director of
the Arizona Education Association, the state's teachers union, and a
Democratic National Committee member. He recalled watching swing states Pennsylvania and Michigan quickly collapse for Democrats on election
night. “That memory is still very fresh, especially for me.”
"You remind people that a poll is just a poll," Heredia said. "It's a
moment in time on Tuesday morning when somebody answered a call. Let's not
get carried away. We should be winning by 20 points, given the
circumstances. Winning by 6 points is still too close for us to say that
we're ahead of the game."
Different dynamics in 2020 than 2016
In interviews with DNC members from six battleground states, including
party leaders, each came back to an old campaign cliche: “Take nothing for granted.”
Democratic anxiety is assuaged a bit by the different circumstances this
time around: Trump is an incumbent, unable to run as a businessman
outsider fighting to “drain the swamp.” Multiple crises – including a pandemic that’s resulted in more than 129,000 American deaths – are part
of his record. He just wrapped up arguably the most difficult month in his presidency, capped by a controversy over reports that Russia offered
bounties to the Taliban to kill U.S. soldiers.
Perhaps most significantly, Biden lacks the low favorability and trustworthiness marks that doomed Clinton, whose polarization gave Trump
an opening many Democrats did not see.
There is a major warning sign for Democrats: Despite Biden’s sizable lead, his supporters are significantly less enthusiastic about him than Trump’s loyalists are of the president, polling shows.
“Democrats across Wisconsin have two reactions to this moment,” said Ben Wikler, chairman of the Wisconsin Democratic Party. “The first is that
Trump is an unmitigated disaster, and polls demonstrate that everyone
knows he’s bad. The second reaction is that we have learned our lesson
from 2016.”
He said Democrats “can’t take their foot off the gas even for a second” by
buying too much into the polls, noting that Clinton led Trump by as many
as 15 percentage points in Wisconsin after the Democratic National
Convention in August 2016. Trump ended up winning Wisconsin by less than 1 percentage point.
“I would encapsulate it as ‘grim resolve,’ ” Wikler said of the mood among
Democrats. It’s “mystifying that Trump even has the scraps of support he has,” given his troubles. He said Democrats fear Trump is “willing to
cheat his way back into power” by limiting voter access and refusing to accept results.
There are four months left before the election, enough time for the race
to upend again.
Ken Evans, a DNC committee member from Florida, who runs a camp for
children in Fort Lauderdale, said he knows many "nonpartisan people" in
Broward County who voted for Trump because they couldn’t back Clinton, but they plan to vote for Biden in November. He said the president’s handling
of the coronavirus was the last straw.
“That’s making the difference. That’s what’s going to bring out the vote,”
Evans said, defending voter enthusiasm for Biden. “They’re excited to
bring normalcy back to the White House” after all the "tiresome" Trump
drama, he said. “People are tired.”
(snip much longer rambling editorial...)
### - the ONLY way to not get fooled again, is to KNOW wtf you're voting
for AND why! period!
i.e., if you're NOT of that 20% wealthy class you 'should' vote for the
left EVERY single time REGARDLESS of who is the leader of them!!! leaders
come & go but the 'political agendas' for each side typically remain the
same!
thus it's all REALLY very simple peeps! that if you get caught-up in
voting for 'personalities' then THAT'S how people get fooled see? This
isn't ABOUT personalities, never was! it's about politics & policy!
anything less than that and you're basically begging to be fooled EVERY
time!
of course, if people were more politically educated, enough to 'realise'
it's about policy and not personality, the left would perforce win every
single time via sweeping 80/20% wins come what may!
as it is, the vast majority (that 80%) are not educated enough to actually
make an informed decision... so they are appealed to emotionally! swayed
by rhetoric & manufactured stats + political slurs!
trumpy sooo far behind in the polls now it looks hopeless, so what are
they gonna do THIS time to try and manufacture an even-enough score to get
a win?
there's lots of standard possibilities historically speaking, but the one
to watch out for this time around, imho + observation (and i'll likely get
shot for saying this lol), is the new black dude suddenly running for
prez? someone who only just the other DAY was an openly staunch trump supporter?? wtf!?
IF he stands, he has virtually no chance of pulling a majority out of the
hat this time around, yet many would likely vote for him merely because
he's representing the black community, but does he??
to 'understand' this, one has maybe only to look at what happened &
happens here in the uk, in that theoretically the left (which represents
the majority after all) 'should' win every time, and WOULD win EVERY time
if only for the several nonsense-parties who take votes AWAY from the left
by spitting that 80% vote up and spreading it across several useless
parties that will likely never ever get a win in their own right! that's
how it's done see? some of these 'parties' even being secretly funded by
the right expressly for that very purpose: to split the labour vote!
so then, methinks what the right are now hoping for there, in america, is
to use this unknown rapper-dude (trumpy's ex-boy!) to split the vote see?
to pare it down enough so that the right, whose numbers always remain more
or less the same, gets a more level playing field to work with!
so don't be fooled!
an even 'worse' case scenario being if that rapper actually won? coz then
the right-wing would have THEIR boy working for them undercover as leader
of the left-wing enough to influence policy see?
no, imho there will indeed come a time when an 'educated' blackman
(someone like obama again) will indeed win the election but the time for
that is not yet, maybe in 4 years that could work with enough planning &
backup etc, but now, while everything's still up in the air? it's a no-no!
no, for a party like that it has to be someone NEW, someone who knows wtf
he's doing & why, someone completely independent who isn't influenced by
either or ANY side and who can stick to his guns knowing that both left
and right, as there are & currently stand, are redundant + far too
corrupted to continue effectively!
so this time around it's really just a right-wing ruse to split the
demo-vote! see? (if he doesn't actually stand then it's a ruse to scare
the whites into voting for the right...)
so there it is... vote left this time just to make 'sure' trumpy & his
gang hits the highway, the resulting change/relaxing of laws then allowing
for a future black independent party to gather its own, uninfluenced,
momentum for real, and because the last thing the world needs now is a left-wing that's heavily influenced by the right?? that would be a
disaster! he would likely then be caught doing something incredibly
corrupt and bring their whole party into some kinda disreputable situation
from which they'd never recover!
the right wing realise by now that they're totally fucked! so this is now
the time for them to pull every last dirty trick imaginable outta their
ass in order to save the day?
you have been warned! that if 'anyone' other than the demos come to power
now, you KNOW it's been fixed!
;)
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)